Establish Dominance Fantasy Football

Week 11 NFL Preview

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All right, all right. It's time to prepare for the best day of the week. Everybody. This is the Sunday Preview Show, and welcome back to Establish Dominance fantasy football. I'm your host. Ding. Thanks for joining us. Tonight. We'll be previewing the Sunday games to help you make sense of what to expect this weekend and how to play your lineups accordingly. The fantasy playoffs are right around the corner, and these last few weeks are probably a must win situation for you in your league. All right, let's take a look at the injury reports from Friday and today. CMC is healthy. Edwards is healthy. Jennings is healthy. Tyree kill is healthy. I don't really think so. He has a torn ligament, but whatever. Hunter, Henry's good to go. Jackson's good. Brian Thomas Jr will play. Harris is good. Joy Bose is good. Pollard's good. Jacobs is good. Aaron Jones is healthy. Algiers healthy. Cousins is healthy from his shoulder. Darnold is healthy. Mooney, he's good to go. Higgins is good, oh. The dynamic duo in Cincinnati is back, and then Metcalf is healthy, questionable. Still, we're waiting on Nick Bosa Kittle, that's a big one. Warren Adams, he's got an illness. He's probably going to play. And then Cooper, who really wants to play, all right, big names that are out this week, Bigsby la porta, Jamal, Williams, Pacheco, Kincaid, fant and Reynolds, full practices, Collins, Ferguson and Pierce. They're probably all going to play, but we really don't have an official designation on them yet. And then Pittman, he says he's going to play. He's still nursing the back issue. I would assume he's going to play. Now, remember to check 90 minutes prior to game time for the last minute updates on these guys, which you can also find on my x feed at established dominance. So check out there. I give them to you as soon as I got them all right. Now we're going to take a look at the early window in the Sunday games. And we just start off with the best team in the NFL, the lions, and they host the Jaguars. And for those of you that think Casey is the best, just because they're 90, no whatever, look inside yourself for some truth. I'm giving you the facts. Lions are the best team out there. Everybody agrees. All right, the lions are healthy in this game. They've got their left tackle, Decker back, that's huge. And then zadaria Smith, he's on a snap count, but he's going to play, and they're going up against Mac Jones is going to lead the Jags, and there are two touchdown underdogs. Now for the Lions, you're going to start every skill player here, but Laporte is out. Now that's a problem, but Brock Wright, don't sleep on this guy. Two big reasons he's good start this week. One, he's a decent option when Laporte is out, and he has proven that in the past, he's good for three to five targets. He's touchdown dependent. But, you know, maybe there's nobody else out there. And then two, this game has a chance of really getting out of hand. I mean, the lions, last time they played them, they put 40 points up on the Jags, and they could be benching their starters in the fourth quarter. But Brock Wright as the tight end too. He's going to continue to play, so he might get extra reps, extra targets in that fourth quarter when everyone is sitting if the game does indeed get out of hand, and that's huge for you. Garbage Time touchdown. You know it? I know it. I love him. Now, the Jags, on the other hand, they're not healthy. Lawrence is out. Bigsby's out, Mack, Jones is in train wreck. Etn, he's a huge risk to start. Now, if Bigsby doesn't play, he's probably going to see 15 touches, but his production is going to be pretty low. You have to hope for a touchdown here, or maybe a bunch of dump off passes so he can crack like 10 points. PPR, Now Brian Thomas is healthy again, but Jones barely looked his way last week. He only had three targets, and now they face a better defense, and zadaria Smith, oh baby Ingram, he's the only safe starter on the Jags. He'll probably see his usual six to nine targets crack 50 yards, and he has a touchdown potential. I wouldn't be surprised if the Jags get a pick six off of Goff, who's coming off his five interception, glorious game last week. Geez, you could see that, but I still don't think you start the Jaguars defense here. Last time they played again, Detroit put a 40 burger on them. Not good. Next game we'll look at is the Packers and the bears. The Packers go into Chicago healthier than they've ever been lately, and they're rested, coming off the bye, and they're facing a team who's in complete disarray after firing the offensive coordinator last week, vegar has this sleeper of a game at the second lowest over under the week. Temper your expectations overall for Green Bay. Love is off of the injury list. He's got a full compliment of wide receivers, along with Jacobs, who's a premium start this week and probably good for a touchdown, as long as Wilson doesn't vulture him again, which happened last week. As far as the wide outs are concerned, Reid is the most talented. I've been saying that all season. I hope you believe me. By now, he should see decent target load, along with Watson. Craft is also a startable person here. I can't guarantee which wide receiver is going to get the touchdown, but love, man, he's got a throw in this week. He was blank last week.

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And it's there's a good chance he's probably going to get at least one touchdown, maybe two. Now the bears, they're going to have to do some soul searching to find a touchdown this week, they were embarrassed last week at New England, they fired their offensive coordinator. They brought in a new one. Talk about a catastrophe for a struggling rookie quarterback who now has to learn a new system from a new offensive coordinator mid season? Yeah, I know he was a coach already on the team, but there's going to be subtle changes that as a rookie he's not going to be able to pick up on, so expect plenty of miscues, misfairs from Caleb Williams, who profiles to have another epic fail of a weekend. He's unstartable, Swift. He should push for 20 touches if they're smart. So he's a decent play, but he's not getting a lot of receptions. So from a PPR standpoint, there's a risk there. Now, last week, every receiver got the same amount of targets, almost like it was designed. I don't agree with that, but they need to pick an alpha. Now, I thought DJ Moore was the Alpha. Who knows? Now, everything's modeled. I can't recommend anyone to start here, except for Swift. And even that's a risk. Any wide receiver that you start in Chicago is really touchdown dependent, and most likely have about 10 points PPR, or maybe even less, if you can avoid it, I would All right, let's talk Vikings and Titans. Now it looks like the NFC North is dominating the early window this week. But here's another snooze fest with Vegas is lowest over under the week coming at you will a real Sam Donald, please stand up. Please stand up. Please stand up to my horn a little here, since pre season, I've been preaching his weaknesses, and he's finally been exposed. The Vikings defense and a little bit of luck have bailed him out. But I would not start him in this game, even though they are favored by six. It actually feels like a trap to me, only because, you know, he's good for at least one interception, one fumble, and maybe even a pick six. I'm just gonna call it pick six, all right. For crying out loud, they should have lost to Jax last week. Geez. I mean, it was, it was terrible. Aaron Jones, he's healthy. He's a must start along with JJ and TJ. Love it. JJ and TJ. Addison has fallen back now. The TJ is back, dominating. There's just too many miles to feed. And again, is Donald. So he really can't spread the ball that much. Addison's a risky play this week. I know Akers had a surprising 4060, split with Jones last week, and that certainly has a chance to develop in this game, as well as the lack of confidence the coaching staff has in Donald right now. I mean, he could get pulled in this game if he's really bad. Now, the Vikings defense their premium start this week with Levis back at the home looking good there. Speaking of Levis, this is not the start you're looking for. Avoid him here. Unless you have no option. He might even produce negative points. I'm just kidding. He'll probably get something. But I mean, seriously, don't start him. Pollard, however, he's off the injury report. He should return back to his 16 to 20 usual touches, with spears sprinkling in for a few as well. Spears is a risky start here Ridley, he's a must start. He dominated last week. Don't push the ball to him again, probably double digit targets. But there's no other receiver on the team that's worthy of a start. Raiders, dolphins, it's gonna just be ugly. All right. The Raiders have gone back to minchu to provide the magic. I'm sorry, but he's going to be in trouble against the dolphin defense that has come on strong. It was late. Now fuller might not play, but even without fuller at corner, they're still going to have a rough time. I expect every skill player in Vegas to struggle in this game. Myers and Bowers are probably the only confidence starts here. He's going to force them the ball, no question. The Raider running backs, they're all touchdown dependent. They profile as a sub 10 point PPR play this week. So you know, start them as a risk. That's not the same for Miami, though, who should have success with a chain this week, as long as he doesn't get his touchdown vultured again. Waddle and Jonah Smith, they should see a decent amount of targets, but Tyree kill continues to see only a handful. I really think to his concussion has had a similar effect to him than it did a couple of years ago. He just can't see the deep ball like he used to, and that hurts tyreke's elite speed. He's a touchdown dependent. Start. You're gonna still play him, and just hope. All right. As for tua, he'll probably find the end zone twice, around 250 yards passing. He'll be a decent start this week. And the rams and patriots, the Rams losing last week to the dolphins was kind of a shocker. Nakua cup and Kyron, they're all no brainer starts here, but they need to find the end zone after getting a goose egg combined between the three of them. Now, Stafford, he's a decent play. He'll get a couple of touchdowns. He'll push 300 yards. But don't sleep on the Patriots defense. They could be surprising against the pass. Now the Patriots, they're a wild card here. They could keep this game close. May will probably push for 200 plus yards and two touchdowns, one rushing, one on the air. Stevenson, he should get 20 touches or more. He's a solid play, as he usually is, but the wide receiver core, that's a huge question mark. Douglas booty getting equal looks. They're both risky. Starts here. Maybe one of them gets a touchdown, but it's really hard to tell Hunter Henry he's healthy again. He should get a larger target share this week. He'll probably push for his normal six to eight targets. He might even lead the team in yards or in the brown saints game. Wow. This. This week is just chock full of matchups of sub 500 teams. It's tough to see how the Browns are going to do in this game. Even after they're coming off the buy, they should be more healthy. Winston, I expect him to have greater success than last week. He'll probably push for 200 yards, two touchdowns. I think Judy will lead in targets again. Tillman also looks like a good bet to get double targets this week as well, one or both of them are going to get touchdowns. Just hard to say. I think Nick Chubb will see more playing time and more touches. He'll probably push for 20 touches, and is a good bet for a touchdown. Other than that, I can't see any starters on this team worth playing this week now. On the flip side, the saints, they have some serious problems, as crazy as it sounds, I think Derek Carr is a decent bet for a start this week only because MVS is acting like Shaheed used to. Is giving him the deep ball option, which he loves. Now, I think it's very likely that the two of them hook up for another long touchdown, even though Cleveland's a tougher defense than they faced last week, and Carr will probably find himself under pressure a lot. Now, taste and Hill, he should be busy in this game. He's a must start. Not only seeing five to seven targets, but he'll get a couple of rushes, as usually does. He might even vulture a touchdown from Kamara. Now, Kamara, he's his usual premium start. He'll definitely push for a touchdown here, as you start him with confidence. All right, in the Colts Jets game, here we go, another sub 500 matchup. Both teams are a hot mess. I mean, let's face it, Richardson is back to being the starter after sitting out two games. He'll go into New York to face a tough jets defensive secondary. I expect him to give JT the ball as much as he can, and if the coaching staff is smart, they'll pepper JT with a bunch of dump offs where the Jets have shown weakness this season. It's difficult to figure out who's going to get the lion's share of targets amongst the wideouts, but downs and pierce seem to be his favorites, while Pittman, who's still nursing the back issue, but he's going to play, he's non startable. In my opinion, I think there's better options out there now, regardless, Richardson should be on your bench in this matchup. It just doesn't profile well for him on the flip side, Rogers, he actually has a decent start opportunity here, coming off of a terrible outing against Arizona. I'm thinking 250 yards and two touchdowns. He looks like he's playing really hurt though. He just doesn't have the ability to scramble. He's not seen it. He's just throwing the ball up there. Adams and Wilson, they're getting double digit targets opportunities, and they're probably going to get more in this game, but Adams has been ill all week. He can't seem to hit him in stride. Even if Adams gets 10 targets, he only gets like 40 yards and catching so I don't know what's going on with Rogers, but it's kind of a risky play. You're going to play all three of these guys, but don't expect too much. Bruce Hall, he should has decent success. He should find the end zone in this game. But the rest of the skill players, they're all bench dashes, all right, the ravens and Steelers. Baby everyone who's going to watch this game. This game has the highest over under in Vegas, at 48.5 this is the type of game that can help you break a tie if you're trying to decide between two players, which one do I start? If they're in this game. You want exposure to this contest, I'd start almost all skill players for both teams here, but not all of them are going to get touchdowns. I know it's 48.5 for the over under, but you know they're still going to have good days. Pickens, Harris, Henry, flowers and the quarterbacks, they're all going to have good PPR production, plus probably a touchdown. Start them all. Flowers is going to dominate targets again. Deontay Johnson, he's continuing to learn the playbook. Coach says he's going to get more plays. I'm not sure he's startable, still, that's a risky play. Mark Andrews, he's going to get his usual looks, although likely has a chance of playing. I still think Mark Andrews is the healthier of the two to go with. Andrews now for Pittsburgh, Warren is questionable. If he doesn't play Harris, should have a big load to carry, but the ravens are tough against the run, so temper your expectations. He's gonna have to get angry. You hear me? Naji, get angry. All right, it's gonna be tough sledding for him, but when he turns on that beast mode, look out firemouth. He's such an independent but the Ravens allow good outings for tight ends. So Muth is good start here. As for the wide receivers, Pickens is a must start, but Williams needs to be left on your bench until he learns the playbook. All right, moving on to the late window, falcons and Broncos. Now both teams need to win here. Denver's coming off that heartbreaking loss to Casey on that block. Field goal. Terrible. They should have beat him. That's why I still say the lions are the best. Listen to me now. Hear me now, and believe me later, the lions are the best. Denver's defense. They're legit. I've been saying it all year. They should have taken out the chiefs. I need to get past that. Either way, cousins will have difficulty connecting with London and Mooney, with certain kind of blocking, both of those guys. It's tough to say. I think certain is gonna gonna stack up against London, because there's similar sizes, and that means Mooney has a chance to be open more. He might have the edge and targets in production, but you're gonna start both this week Right. Aside from Derek Henry, the Broncos have been able to shut down everyone against the run. They're they're just awesome. Derrick Henry is obviously in a league by himself, but the Broncos have shut down everyone else this season. So you're going to start Bijon Robinson, but don't be surprised if he gets like sub 50 yards rushing, hopefully he gets a couple of dump off passes and a touchdown. You're going to need that touchdown help. You're still going to start them. Based on that, I don't think algier is even worthy of a start. He's only getting a third of the touches. Denver is elite on defense. I would bench algier Unless you don't have any other options. Now, for Denver, nicks and Sutton are both must starts. They're strong bets to score. Knicks always looks to Sutton. Sutton always leads in targets. We have a new running back on the block, steam a he appears to be the new guy in town. He's going to push for 20 touches in this game, and now Javonte Williams is number two, which means McLaughlin should be benched. Now, hopefully you grabbed a steamy off the river wire, like we talked about. I don't think any remaining skill players for Denver really justify his start, unless you're desperate, since they fluctuate so much week to week, it's just it's just hard to expect something consistent from them. So if you're desperate, I'd start valet Seahawks and 40 Niners. It's an NFC West rematch here, where the Niners won by double digits in Seattle already this season, when they hosted them, and now they have a healthy CMC. So in the previous matchup, Grando and Mason combined for almost 200 yards total. So CMC is like the number one play this week. Purdy, he's going to be a premium play this week too. He had three touchdowns in the previous performance in Seattle. I think he matches that again. Debo roasted Seattle last time to the tune of over 100 yards and a touchdown, and Kittle crush them with two touchdowns. Those guys are both obvious starts this week, along with Jennings, who really looks good, he'll probably get a touchdown too. The only issue is Kittle and his questionable I don't know how bad that is. I mean, the coaches like to hide that, especially San Francisco. Definitely monitor that on Sunday. We have no updates right now as of this podcast, but if he's gonna play, you have to start him now for Seattle, the rested coming off the buy, they get DK Metcalf back. That's huge. That hurts jsbs potential, but not that much. GSB is really starting to click right now. I would start JSB as well as DK Metcalf, obviously. However, I don't think JSB is going to get 180 yards and two touchdowns, so you really need to bring back your expectations. Surprisingly, in the first matchup, locket led all the receivers and receiving and DK had 11 targets but only caught like three. I think, I think JSB has got a good shot at not producing both of them, but it's not going to be that big of a day. All three of these wide receivers are good starts this week. They all have a shot at a touchdown. Really difficult to figure out who it is, who's actually going to get it, however, Walker, he's probably going to have another tough day. His only saving grace last game was a touchdown, and he had eight catches, but it was like eight catches for 30 yards. So they just dump balls where he's getting pounded immediately. If he gets that again, he's going to have another PPR day. I'm not sure he actually gets that this week, but you're going to start him either way, he's still good for 20 touches. Now I expect San Francisco to play even tougher at home than they did in the first matchup to Seattle. So I think Seattle could be on the ropes early. Vegas has this as the second highest scoring game of this week. So again, if you're trying to decide between two players, and one of them is in this game. You want exposure to this high scoring game? All right, let's talk chiefs bills. It's gonna be huge game. Everyone's gonna watch it in the afternoon. The bills, high powered offense meets the Casey, lights out defense in Buffalo, and it shouldn't disappoint. Speaking of disappointing, Casey's offense has been disappointing. They have a chance to score in Buffalo. Buffalo is not that great of a defense. They usually give up over 20 points a game. 2024 points a game. I think Hopkins gets back on track and he scores a touchdown, along with Kelsey, both are premium starts. Worthy should be benched. I love worthy. I think he's awesome. A lot of talent there, but mahomes just cannot connect with him on the deep ball. I don't know what the issue is. Hopkins is getting all the red zone looks along with Kelsey, I just don't see worthy as a quality start this week. Smith Schuster is back. He's unstartable. He had his one game of awesomeness, and then Hardman. If you're truly desperate, you can start him, but I wouldn't. Now you're going to play mahomes Unless you have someone else who can give you 250 yards and two touchdowns better you probably don't. So my home isn't going to start for you. Buffalo. Now they're going to have trouble against this defense, even though they're at home. All right. Casey has had great success all year long against running backs, even Henry, they stopped. All right. Henry had less than 50 yards on the yards on the ground. All right? Cook and Davis, they're gonna struggle. All right, they really are. I wouldn't start Davis, I think he's a bench stash here. You gotta hope that cook gets a few catches and a touchdown that doesn't get vultured by Allen and at wide receiver, even more problems for Buffalo. Coleman's out. Cooper, he's questionable, but he wants to play through it. I think he's talking about wearing a cast. That doesn't sound good to catch the ball. Only. Ali, how does that actually work? I have a cast, so I'm just going to catch with one hand. I'm like, OBJ, whatever. Anyway, sounds like a problem. Shakir, he's shaping up to be the guy who's going to be the target hog in this one. He's a must start. Kincaid. He's out. Knox is going to step in. He's a decent play. Knox is talented, and Casey tends to give up Good yardage to tight ends. I think Knox could come away with a large target, share some good yardage numbers and maybe even a touchdown if he's out there. Grab him if you don't have a better tight end to start. The last person to discuss, obviously, is Alan. You're going to start him. He's probably going to score two to three times, one on the ground, because he's got to get his Cook's probably going to get hose, like he always does. He'll have 250 yards. He'll probably have an interception and a fumble. Don't expect too much here. He's not going to give you 30 points against the KC defense, all right, Sunday night football, Bengals chargers, no one all season has scored more than 20 points against LA and only one team did it. They scored 20. That's it. Lower your expectations for all of the Cincy skill players, even though brown Chase and Higgins are must starts here. Higgins is back, so gazeki takes a back seat, and he probably won't see the high target share that he's been getting in his absence. Burrow should have a decent start, but I'm guessing 275 yards and one touchdown, two Max. I mean, that's really pushing it for LA Edwards is healthy, and now he has a 6040, times share in the backfield with Dobbins, and that's frustrating, I gotta admit, especially when Herbert vultures their touchdowns. That's even worse. Both are starts, but who gets the touchdown is unknown. McConkey should continue to dominate production, and disley will most likely see his steady stream of six targets. Both are quality plays here. Johnston, he's a must start, but only because he seems to have a knack for scoring. So expect a touchdown out of him. Surprisingly, Vegas thinks this is going to be a shootout, and they've assigned a 48 point over under for the week, tied for second highest. I think they overestimate, since he's production, especially when they're away from home, and they definitely underestimate the Chargers. I'm not sure it gets there. All right, let's talk Monday Night Football bonus coverage. Because, I mean, why not? It's the Battle of Texas, right? Texans versus the Cowboys. I think it's obvious this will not be a close game. Houston's favored by seven and a half, and they're away. I mean, it's only a 42 over under in Vegas. Collins, he's had full practices all this week. He should start for the Texans. So you need to start that alpha. And with that alpha back, CJ Stroud should have a nice day, although he'll feel pressure and take some sacks. Mix in is a premium play this week, as he always is. Dell should also add in some quality starting here, everyone's going to be focused on Colin. So Dell should be open even more. Colin's return, however, lowers expectations for Dalton Schultz, who'd been seeing some more love lately. That'll relegate him to bench status, unless you don't have any other option. Cooper rush, he's starting for the Cowboys. Hooray. Should be never a tough day for Cooper. CD lamb, he'll probably string together a couple of catches. Have a decent day. Doddle, he's worth a start, but I wouldn't expect much after that. Ferguson, he appears healthy again. He's practicing in full, so he's the last one I'd be willing to start on the Cowboys, but it's going to be a rough week. All right, there's the week 11 preview again. Check the status of questionable players Sunday morning, 90 minutes prior to the games, be ready to flex. Look at my x feed. I'll give you everything you need to know. And speaking of flex, make sure you place your late game players or ones with big question marks into your flex positions to give you a chance to sub 'em out in the event of some sort of surprise injury or out designation. And when in doubt, always go with your gut, just like I say. Now, before we sign off, I want to give a shout out to our men and women in uniform who protect the freedoms we hold dear. Thank you for your service and sacrifice. And finally, thanks for listening. If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to subscribe and follow us on X YouTube, Apple, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts, so you can stay up to date on our latest content, and until then, remember, establish dominance isn't just a catch phrase, it's a commitment. Are you ready? You